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Tuesday, 3 December 2013
Newz - Amazone !
Amazone Prime Air !
http://www.referralduty.com/index.php?invite=39952
Will spotting Amazon's fleet of "Prime Air " drones
soon be "as normal as seeing mail trucks on the
road today"? That's what Amazon is saying, after
CEO Jeff Bezos explained Sunday that the company
would, in the future, deliver packages by
quadcopter. However, that future may be a bit
further out than the revolutionary retailer can
say.
Coming from a company that employs robots in its
warehouses, the drone vision isn't too surprising.
And sure, delivery drones are already a reality:
The Marine Corps have been using two remote-
controlled K-MAX helicopters to deliver supplies in
Afghanistan. It was so successful that the military
extended their deployment indefinitely in 2011.
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But while they may be welcome in countries with
little or no infrastructure, delivery drones flying
through tightly regulated skies over the world's
biggest cities present a logistical nightmare, and
are, to date, mostly wishful thinking. Newspaper
delivery drones in France? A prank . Pizza delivery
by Domino’s drones? A PR gimmick . TacoCopter? A
hoax . The drone that tried to deliver contraband
into a Georgia prison? Busted .
"A quadcopter airlifting you the next iteration of
'50 Shades of Grey,'" is "going to be a gimmick”
at least "for the next five years," Drunken
Predator Drone, the persona behind the parody
Twitter account @DrunkenPredator, wrote to NBC
News in a surprisingly lucid email.
Sober responses came from other experts as well:
"If the FAA Roadmap is an indication of where the
regulations are going to be in the future ... then I
think Amazon is going to have a difficult time
using the tech for delivery,” said Brendan
Schulman, a lawyer at the firm Kramer Levin
Naftalis & Franke in New York. Schulman should
know: He's defending the first person sued by the
FAA for using a drone commercially.
Here are some basic questions that Amazon and
Jeff Bezos have been a bit fuzzy about:
When will we get deliveries by drone?
Not sooner than 2015. That's Amazon's intended
launch year, and — not coincidentally — that's
when the Federal Aviation Administration is
scheduled to draft preliminary regulations to guide
the deployment of small unmanned autonomous
flying robots into the U.S. airspace.
Ryan Calo , professor of law at the University of
Washington, told NBC News that he expects the
timeline to be a bit more stretched out, but that
drone delivery would be "routine within five years."
"I think it’s a matter of working with the FAA to
make sure it’s secure — not just for local but long-
haul delivery," he said.
Schulman is more pessimistic. He points out that
the FAA is not keen on the kind of autonomous
long-range flight that Bezos discussed. "The early
indication is that those flight (types) are not going
to be permitted at all," Schulman told NBC News —
at least not initially.
Who will drive the drones?
It seems like piloted drones, controlled remotely by
humans, will take off sooner than their brainier
self-piloting cousins. But how we pick the pilots
that make the safest drone controllers is still
being debated.
How much will deliveries cost?
Will Amazon Prime members get free drone
delivery with their annual subscriptions? Will
regular customers get drone service if they spend
enough on the site? If the first delivery drones to
go up are piloted, the cost of hiring humans to do
the flying might not make the exercise worthwhile.
Will humans even want this?
Maybe, but maybe not. The town Deer Trail, in
Colo. is seeking to issue hunting licenses for drones
and one resident is even offering drone hunting
lessons. In February this year, citing privacy
concerns, the mayor of Seattle — where Amazon is
based — shut down the city police department’s
drone program. The cops returned their crafts
even though in other parts of the country, police
drones are pitching in and helping out .
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Speakin g of which, what happens if someone
damages a delivery drone? And what if the drone
runs into something and damages property?
"It makes sense that there will be legal protection
against knocking them out," Schulman told NBC
News. And as for errant drones colliding with
people? Existing tort law provides protection for
those who are injured by flying objects, whether
they be drones or golf balls. Schulman thinks
there's room for debate about additional oversight
when it comes to drones.
Is the technology ready?
In its new roadmap, the FAA has indicated an
interest in "sense and avoid" technology, basic
instinct for human pilots who avoid other aircrafts
and flying things like birds. But some researchers
say that technology for autonomous flight is in its
infancy.
"As of right now, the major obstacle to deploying
'Amazon Prime Air' is the question of weight,"
Drunken Predator wrote to NBC News. "You need
to carry batteries, GPS, your cargo, and most
importantly, the Magic Sensor Box That Makes Us
Not Crash Into Power Lines And Old Ladies (Which
We Have Yet To Invent.)"
Drunken Predator added that, "You need range
(there and back), you need lift capacity, you need
GPS guidance, collision-avoidance sensors, and you
need a small computer brain."
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